“The Transnistrian Region in 2026: Structural Crisis, Economic Convergence and Prospects for Reintegration” – A Study on Economic Disparities and Closer Ties Between the Two Banks of the Dniester

The economic developments in the Transnistrian region and the role of economic convergence in the reintegration process were the main topics of the study “The Transnistrian Region in 2026: Structural Crisis, Economic Convergence and Prospects for Reintegration”, presented by FES Moldova and the Institute for Development and Social Initiatives (IDIS) “Viitorul” on September 29th. The study examines policy options for gradual economic convergence that take into account the impact on the population and businesses and contribute to reducing economic disparities between the two banks of the Dniester.

According to the authors’ estimates, the region’s economy contracted by 19.4% in 2025, while industrial output fell by approximately 20%. The average monthly salary stood at around MDL 7,700, nearly half the level on the right bank of the Dniester. At the same time, approximately 77% of the region’s external exports were destined for the European Union market, highlighting the importance of its economic ties with the European market.

During the event, experts and representatives of public institutions discussed the vulnerabilities of the region’s economic model, the existing interdependencies between the two banks of the Dniester, and ways in which economic integration could contribute to reintegration. The discussions highlighted the need to manage this process in a way that fosters closer economic ties without destabilizing the social and economic situation.

Read the English version of the study HERE.